Evolving markets create tomorrow’s biggest opportunities

Arnt Sollie, General Manager, Insight by Volue, explains that by combining cutting-edge AI forecasting with next-generation market models, we are not only preparing our customers for change, we are helping them shape the future of the markets.

Arnt Sollie

Europe’s accelerating electrification is reshaping energy markets at an unprecedented pace. Volatility, complexity, and speed are defining the new normal — but for those prepared, this change opens extraordinary opportunities. At Insight by Volue, we see it as our mission to help market participants turn these challenges into advantages. One of the most important areas of focus this year has been the significant improvements we’ve made to our fundamental models, particularly for wind and solar PV.  

These updates are vital as Europe continues to experience rapid growth in renewable generation. Of course, with that comes new challenges in forecasting and market modelling. 

Historically, it has been difficult for models to keep pace with these shifts. That’s why we developed and introduced updated and new AI-based weather to fundamentals forecasts. These forecasts are self-learning, meaning they adapt automatically as new capacity is added, whether that’s additional wind or solar PV, ensuring model quality does not decline as the market evolves. This has already proven to be an essential step in safeguarding forecast accuracy, and these new models are now available to all our customers.  

Fundamental data and 15-minute resolution  

Another major milestone is our move to 15-minute resolution across some of our fundamental data and the day-ahead market. The European power market is transitioning from hourly to quarter-hourly intervals, with the change in the day-ahead market coming into effect in late September. This shift represents a fundamental transformation: four times as many decision points, four times as much data, and a significantly higher risk of imbalance. 

We recognised this transition early and built SpotEx15 to meet it head-on. While grounded in the proven strengths of our SpotEx model, SpotEx15 has been fundamentally re-engineered to operate at 15-minute resolution, managing both the complexity and the heavy compute load of quarter-hourly markets. The stakes are high: failing to adapt exposes market participants to substantial imbalance risk. In Norway, for instance, we have already seen single hours where imbalance costs have erased Day-ahead revenues due to extreme price spreads. With quarter-hourly trading, both the risks and the opportunities will multiply — and SpotEx15 is designed to give our customers the edge. 

Our offering 

At the core of our offering is a commitment to supporting informed decision-making. We deliver continuously updated price and fundamental data forecasts, enriched by in-depth research and analysis from our in-house market experts.  

Equally important is accessibility: our intuitive data API makes it simple to tap into a wide range of relevant data curves, helping to streamline daily operations and enhance efficiency across both short and long-term markets.  

And because power markets never operate in isolation, we provide a truly comprehensive perspective, offering not only a panoramic view of the European market landscape but also insights into the potential impact of neighboring power systems. This combination of accuracy, accessibility, and breadth ensures our customers have the tools they need to navigate complexity with confidence. 

Our focus is always on empowering customers to thrive in this new environment. That means supporting not just the enterprise-level clients, where we hold strong market share across the Nordics, Germany, and broader Europe, but also the growing segment of small and medium-sized market participants entering trading for the first time.   

A future-ready forecasting solution 

As we look to the rest of 2025, our mission is clear: to equip our customers with the insights and tools they need to succeed in an increasingly dynamic market. By combining cutting-edge AI forecasting with next-generation market models, we are not only preparing our customers for change, we are helping them shape the future of the markets.